PUBLISHED January 15, 2026
According to Valiant’s “Wirtschaftsausblick Dezember 2025” on Valiant.ch, published by the bank’s Chief Economist Renato Flückiger, global financial markets are entering the final phase of 2025 in a noticeably calmer, but also more cautious mood. After months of strong equity performance driven largely by technology stocks and optimism around artificial intelligence, investor sentiment has become more balanced. Valuations in several market segments remain elevated, while geopolitical tensions, shifting monetary policies, and uneven economic data continue to shape expectations. As a result, many market participants are reassessing risk and adjusting their positioning ahead of the new year.
Global equity markets slowed in late 2025 after strong gains, particularly in technology and AI stocks. Valuations remain high, and investor sentiment has become more cautious, reflecting uncertainties around future demand, profitability, and geopolitical tensions. Despite this, recent earnings reports were generally positive, indicating a balanced market phase rather than a downturn.
Global equity markets slowed in late 2025 after strong gains, particularly in technology and AI stocks. Valuations remain high, and investor sentiment has become more cautious, reflecting uncertainties around future demand, profitability, and geopolitical tensions. Despite this, recent earnings reports were generally positive, indicating a balanced market phase rather than a downturn.
Global growth for 2026 is projected around 3 %, supported primarily by resilient U.S. consumer spending and investment activity. Europe benefits from low interest rates, fiscal support, and gradual recovery in key sectors, though structural weaknesses such as uneven employment trends, trade frictions, and energy price volatility persist. Switzerland is expected to sustain modest growth above 1 %, aided by improved trade conditions, stable domestic consumption, migration flows, and low financing costs. Export-dependent industries continue to face pressure, and investors are advised to monitor global risks closely while focusing on more stable regional opportunities.
Global growth for 2026 is projected around 3 %, supported primarily by resilient U.S. consumer spending and investment activity. Europe benefits from low interest rates, fiscal support, and gradual recovery in key sectors, though structural weaknesses such as uneven employment trends, trade frictions, and energy price volatility persist. Switzerland is expected to sustain modest growth above 1 %, aided by improved trade conditions, stable domestic consumption, migration flows, and low financing costs. Export-dependent industries continue to face pressure, and investors are advised to monitor global risks closely while focusing on more stable regional opportunities.